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East Eurasian phylogeny
#61
Filtered SNPs: 532685
Polymorphic SNPs: 378697

Fst to: Irula.SG
0.09656 Bulgaria_BachoKiro_IUP
0.10334 Iran_GanjDareh_N
0.15405 Onge.SG
0.18172 Papuan.DG

Irula (70% AASI) distance to selected pops
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#62
right: 'Mbuti.DG','Russia_Ekaterinovka_Mesolithic','Bulgaria_BachoKiro_IUP','Germany_Ranis_IUP','Georgia_Kotias_Mesolithic.SG','Iran_GanjDareh_N','England_Mesolithic.SG','Tajikistan_Mesolithic','Turkey_Marmara_Barcin_N','Jordan_PPNB','Papuan.DG','Russia_DevilsCave_N.SG','Dai.DG','Russia_Tyumen_HG.DG'
target: India_Roopkund_Medieval1_highAASI
left weight se z
Russia_MLBA_Srubnaya_Alakul.SG 0.125 0.021 5.936
Iran_ShahrISokhta_BA2_LowAASI 0.407 0.03 13.716
Russia_UstIshim_IUP.DG 0.01 0.036 0.267
Onge.SG 0.458 0.029 15.903
p_value: 0.432075910860905

High AASI North Indians don't pick IUP

This is why I was warning you guys to not make theories just on feeling and test it with models

Neither does Irula pick

right: 'Mbuti.DG','Russia_Ekaterinovka_Mesolithic','Bulgaria_BachoKiro_IUP','Germany_Ranis_IUP','Georgia_Kotias_Mesolithic.SG','Iran_GanjDareh_N','England_Mesolithic.SG','Tajikistan_Mesolithic','Turkey_Marmara_Barcin_N','Jordan_PPNB','Papuan.DG','Russia_DevilsCave_N.SG','Dai.DG','Russia_Tyumen_HG.DG'
target: Irula.SG
left weight se z
Russia_MLBA_Srubnaya_Alakul.SG 0.04 0.019 2.148
Iran_ShahrISokhta_BA2_LowAASI 0.327 0.026 12.793
Russia_UstIshim_IUP.DG -0.003 0.032 -0.093
Onge.SG 0.635 0.028 22.781
p_value: 0.638308315306105
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#63
(12-13-2024, 07:34 PM)Ebizur Wrote:
(12-13-2024, 06:39 PM)crashdoc Wrote: C1b and C1a could already have been present in the hub before the Eurasian dispersion event. TMRCAs on yfull and ftdna are too young. For instance now that we have 2 high coverage males dating from around 45kya (Ranis13 & Ust-Ishim), using their private mutations combined with their radiocarbon dating we can calculate with quite a high reliability that the real TMRCA of K-M2308 is between 48-49kya, while y-full puts it's parent (K2) at 45.5kya and ftdna at 45kya. The dispersion event cannot have happened before then as we have Ranis, Ust-Ishim, NO and South-East-Asian clads under that.

Hallast et al. (2023) have presented split times as estimated according to BEAST analysis of fully sequence-resolved Y-chromosomes in their Figure S1:

K2 (MRCA of NO and QR Y-chromosomes): TMRCA 52,000 (95% HPD interval 45,500 <-> 59,600) ybp
NO (MRCA of N and O Y-chromosomes): TMRCA 45,300 (95% HPD interval 39,400 <-> 51,900) ybp

For whatever reason, many people seem to ignore the depth of the split between Y-DNA haplogroup N-M231 and Y-DNA haplogroup O-M175. The K2a lineages found in Paleolithic specimens from Europe are basal to the MRCA of N-M231 and O-M175, so they are indeed highly divergent.

The data of the IVPP (the Institute of Vertebrate Paleontology and Paleoanthropology) imply that the origin of the differing MRCAs, obtained by Hallast already after the actual splits between lineages had already been inferred in other earlier works, should not be related to the origin and distribution of the bearers of yDNA K population, including bearers of yDNA K2, yDNA O-M175 and yDNA N-M231.
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#64
Ebizur Wrote:TMRCA CT 77,800 (95% HPD interval 67,900 <-> 88,900) ybp
*TMRCA E1 57,800 (50,300 <-> 66,200) ybp
**TMRCA E1a2 14,800 (12,500 <-> 17,500) ybp
**TMRCA E1b1 47,800 (41,600 <-> 54,900) ybp
***TMRCA E1b1b1 27,500 (23,700 <-> 31,800) ybp
***TMRCA E1b1a1 18,100 (15,500 <-> 21,200) ybp
*TMRCA CF 77,100 (67,400 <-> 88,200) ybp
**TMRCA GHIJK 55,800 (48,600 <-> 63,700) ybp
***TMRCA HIJK 55,600 (48,600 <-> 63,600) ybp
****TMRCA IJK 54,500 (47,600 <-> 62,400) ybp
*****TMRCA J 36,800 (31,900 <-> 42,400) ybp
*****TMRCA K2 (NOQR) 52,000 (45,500 <-> 59,600) ybp
******TMRCA NO 45,300 (39,400 <-> 51,900) ybp
*******TMRCA O (O1-O2) 37,200 (32,300 <-> 42,800) ybp
********TMRCA O2a (O2a1-O2a2) 27,800 (24,000 <-> 32,000) ybp
*********TMRCA O2a2 (O2a2a-O2a2b) 27,000 (23,300 <-> 31,200) ybp
**********TMRCA O2a2b1a-F450/M1667 19,500 (16,600 <-> 22,800) ybp
******TMRCA QR 36,100 ybp
*******TMRCA R (R1-R2) 30,600 (26,500 <-> 35,300) ybp
********TMRCA R1 (R1a-R1b) 25,200 (21,600 <-> 29,200) ybp
*********TMRCA R1b1a1b1a1a2-P312 5,600 (4,700 <-> 6,700) ybp

Regarding the above data, which were posted by Ebizur previously, it should not be thought that the data of the IVPP did not address such ages, therefore, it should not be thought that these ages were necessarily related to actual accurate consequent proto-historical splits between y chromosome lineages, cited above.

For example, the cited age of yDNA CT, such as 77800 years ago (the “split” between African and Eurasian lineages, listed above), is older than the age of 76500 years ago, which was a split between yDNA CF and yDNA DE in “A Rare Deep-Rooting D0 African Y-Chromosomal Haplogroup and Its Implications for the Expansion of Modern Humans Out of Africa”, but this age of 77800 years ago can still be an age of one of yDNA CT* populations, some Homo Sapiens remains of which had previously coexisted to an insignificant degree in the neighbourhood of other groups of ancient Homo Sapiens individuals in accordance with the IVPP data. The age of 77800 years ago “resurfaced” for the DNA from Australia. Which language could this type of yDNA CT* people speak? For example, Gerhard Jager cited an example of the convergent evolution in the English language and one of languages of the Australian aboriginals in the article “From words to features to trees: Computing a world tree of languages from word lists”:

Old English docga >English dog
Proto-Paman *gudaga >Mbabaram dog ('dog')

The IVPP data to a certain degree defended such a 77800-year-old yDNA CT* population in Eurasia and did not suggest the association of this population with the population, characterized by mutation C16355T, observed in Homo Heidelbergensis.

C16355T Homo Heidelbergensis
C16355T L1b1a15a
C16355T L1c3a1b
C16355T L2a1c3b
C16355T L2b1a
C16355T L2e
C16355T L3e5h
C16355T L3k1
C16355T N1a1a
C16355T W6n
C16355T H1bk4a
C16355T H1-c
C16355T H1c4b
C16355T H1b1b
C16355T H1cj1
C16355T H3h13a
C16355T H44b3a
C16355T H5v1a
C16355T H7t
C16355T H94
C16355T H94a
C16355T H11a16
C16355T H11a7a
C16355T H-h6a
C16355T HV1a1
C16355T HV21b1
C16355T R0a1a
C16355T J1b2j1a
C16355T J1c14
C16355T J2a1a1a3a
C16355T J2b1a18
C16355T Q2a1
C16355T C7a14
C16355T D4b2a1
C16355T D5b1a2
C16355T A2aq
C16355T N11a
C16355T N7a2
C16355T T1a12a
C16355T T1a1cp
C16355T T2b82
C16355T T2c1d4a
C16355T T2j1a1
C16355T F1e1a
C16355T F3a
C16355T B4'5a1a
C16355T U3b3d1
C16355T K2b1a1a1
C16355T K2b1b1a
C16355T U6a1b1a
C16355T X2c1j1
C16355T L4b2
C16355T L5a

On the contrary, the IVPP data implied that some remains of this 77800-year-old yDNA CT* population in Eurasia became incorporated in the Homo Sapiens component, which is not usually associated with a source of archaic admixture.
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#65
from the old Anthrogenica

(05-24-2022, 11:52 AM)okarinaofsteiner Wrote:
eurasia Wrote:We have at least three Denisovan introgression events in East Asia.

1) Tibetan introgression, with EPAS1, closer to Altai Denisavan (Tibetans have >=2 introgressions, I'm referring to EPAS1-related only)
2) Tianyuan-Mainland East Asia (Denisovan ancestry and population history of early East Asians), without EPAS1, distant to Altai Denisovan (The history and evolution of the Denisovan-EPAS1 haplotype in Tibetans)
3) Papuan-Australian, also distant to Altai Denisovan
and others need further investigation to separate from the ones above
4) a recent Siberian one which lacks EPAS1 but close to AD.
5) Aeta-Agta, higher than Papuan
6) India

Even if Tianyuan has some Altai Denisovan-related introgression, the amount would be small.
Makes sense that there would be separate Denisovan introgressions among Papuans-Australian aborigines, Tibetans, Philippine Negritos, General East Asians (that should also be found among Tibetans and Philippine Negritos at least), and AASI.
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#66
Here's a graph attempt just to get someone to post a better one. I think I extracted f2 with maxmiss=0.1 and there were around 600k SNPs remaining. Worst residuals are bad but I can't see a straightforward modification from them. Added Denisova and Neanderthal to see if they help, graph works the same way without them.
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Hoabinhian would be on the Onge_Jarawa branch but it had weird affinities due to low coverage or contam. Irula has an obvious preference for that branch but ShahrISokhta doesn't. I'm not sure if the extra admixture into AASI proposed earlier can even be detected by qpGraph. If the admixing population has no extra affinity to any samples, how would it show? Would it be obvious overfit in the residuals, or a huge branch length? And if it's most related to Iran then a double admixture edge from Iran is definitely unidentifiable, unless the Iran samples have different affinity to it.
Also tried adding Zongri to tease out "Tibetan ghost" if it exists but couldn't. Maybe because it's mostly YR derived. Both would be around DevilsCave/SEast_Asia territory.
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#67
Do we have actual evidence of admixture between humans and Neanderthals? Or between humans and Denisovans?

So far, all such evidence is quite weak.
It is true that Papuans have a higher percentage of Denisovan genes, but that does not mean that this is the result of direct admixture. Papuans separated from the rest of the tree and remained isolated for tens of thousands of years.

The percentage of archaic genes is very stable and it is the same in all human populations.
The same percentage is observed in geographically separated groups, the same percentage does not change much over time, starting from 50,000 years ago until now.

So why is it claimed that there was such admixture of humans with hominids?

I have done a lot of research in this area and my latest conclusion is that there is no such admixture. There is a deviation within a few percent, but it is not due to direct mixing, but is the result of quantitative accumulations and isolation, random processes in the distribution of a much more ancient initial population from which all humans originate.
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#68
(04-05-2025, 01:24 AM)TanTin Wrote: Do we have actual evidence of admixture between humans and Neanderthals? Or between humans and Denisovans?

So far, all such evidence is quite weak.
It is true that Papuans have a higher percentage of Denisovan genes, but that does not mean that this is the result of direct admixture. Papuans separated from the rest of the tree and remained isolated for tens of thousands of years.

The percentage of archaic genes is very stable and it is the same in all human populations.
The same percentage is observed in geographically separated groups, the same percentage does not change much over time, starting from 50,000 years ago until now.

So why is it claimed that there was such admixture of humans with hominids?

I have done a lot of research in this area and my latest conclusion is that there is no such admixture. There is a deviation within a few percent, but it is not due to direct mixing, but is the result of quantitative accumulations and isolation, random processes in the distribution of a much more ancient initial population from which all humans originate.

Neutral alleles are not under selection so the chance that drift alone is able to explain affinity is very dubious and unlikely. It's a different story for alleles under selection and those with LD, but most likely the alleles we do have nowadays are no longer under LD at least. Selection perhaps, but not most of them. Also it makes the most sense since the populations closest to Eurasians, Omotic people close to Mota, do not have Neanderthal affinity. Also Papuans are a pretty good piece of evidence since they definitely could not have gained more affinity toward Denisovans, considering how it is restricted to them and how significant it is. We also have some ancient samples with elevated Neanderthal and as expected the segments are longer than those in modern populations, which is indicative of admixture being closer in time.
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